Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Raith Rovers win with a probability of 37.69%. A win for Greenock Morton had a probability of 34.99% and a draw had a probability of 27.3%.
The most likely scoreline for a Raith Rovers win was 0-1 with a probability of 10.82%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (8.11%) and 0-2 (6.78%). The likeliest Greenock Morton win was 1-0 (10.33%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.94%). The actual scoreline of 0-1 was predicted with a 10.8% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted a 0-1 win for Raith Rovers in this match.
