Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Ayr United win with a probability of 38.83%. A win for Dunfermline Athletic had a probability of 31.96% and a draw had a probability of 29.2%.
The most likely scoreline for an Ayr United win was 1-0 with a probability of 13.09%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (7.74%) and 2-0 (7.58%). The likeliest Dunfermline Athletic win was 0-1 (11.55%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (13.37%). The actual scoreline of 1-1 was predicted with a 13.4% likelihood.
