Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Arbroath win with a probability of 49.18%. A draw had a probability of 26.8% and a win for Dunfermline Athletic had a probability of 24.04%.
The most likely scoreline for an Arbroath win was 1-0 with a probability of 13.63%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (9.81%) and 2-1 (9%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (12.51%), while for a Dunfermline Athletic win it was 0-1 (8.7%). The actual scoreline of 4-2 was predicted with a 0.7% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Arbroath would win this match.
