Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Zenit St Petersburg win with a probability of 50.92%. A win for Sochi had a probability of 25.51% and a draw had a probability of 23.6%.
The most likely scoreline for a Zenit St Petersburg win was 1-2 with a probability of 9.66%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-1 (9.45%) and 0-2 (8.26%). The likeliest Sochi win was 2-1 (6.46%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.05%). The actual scoreline of 0-0 was predicted with a 5.4% likelihood.
