Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a CSKA Moscow win with a probability of 58.04%. A draw had a probability of 23.6% and a win for Nizhny Novgorod had a probability of 18.37%.
The most likely scoreline for a CSKA Moscow win was 0-1 with a probability of 13.04%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-2 (11.27%) and 1-2 (9.64%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (11.16%), while for a Nizhny Novgorod win it was 1-0 (6.46%). The actual scoreline of 0-2 was predicted with an 11.3% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that CSKA Moscow would win this match.
