Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Dynamo Moscow win with a probability of 53.35%. A draw had a probability of 24% and a win for Spartak Moscow had a probability of 22.68%.
The most likely scoreline for a Dynamo Moscow win was 1-0 with a probability of 11.11%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.72%) and 2-0 (9.49%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (11.39%), while for a Spartak Moscow win it was 0-1 (6.68%). The actual scoreline of 0-2 was predicted with a 3.4% likelihood.
