Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a CSKA Moscow win with a probability of 48.23%. A win for Zenit St Petersburg had a probability of 26.84% and a draw had a probability of 24.9%.
The most likely scoreline for a CSKA Moscow win was 1-0 with a probability of 10.55%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.42%) and 2-0 (8.4%). The likeliest Zenit St Petersburg win was 0-1 (7.44%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.84%). The actual scoreline of 0-4 was predicted with a 0.4% likelihood.
