Given the similar form and seasons that both teams are experiencing, we cannot quite pick a winner on Sunday.
They will each look for a crucial victory in the race for top-five spots but could eventually cancel each other out at the Estadio Dom Afonso Henriques.
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Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Vitoria de Guimaraes win with a probability of 41.63%. A win for Estoril Praia had a probability of 32.54% and a draw had a probability of 25.8%.
The most likely scoreline for a Vitoria de Guimaraes win was 1-0 with a probability of 9.91%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.8%) and 2-0 (7.11%). The likeliest Estoril Praia win was 0-1 (8.55%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.26%). The actual scoreline of 3-1 was predicted with a 4.2% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Vitoria de Guimaraes would win this match.
