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Primeira Liga | Gameweek 12
Nov 28, 2021 at 6pm UK
 
T
Sporting Lisbon
2 - 0
Tondela
Sarabia (10'), Paulinho (50')
Sarabia (30'), Ugarte (78'), Tomas (85')
FT(HT: 1-0)

Barbosa (30'), Augusto (74'), Sagnan (80')

We said: Sporting Lisbon 3-0 Tondela

Sporting Lisbon are currently on a roll and appear simply unstoppable at the moment given the way they have been playing in recent months. After picking up successive wins last time out, we expect Tondela to put up a fight in this one; however, we anticipate the hosts will extend their dominance in this fixture and claim their fourth straight win over the visitors. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Sporting Lisbon win with a probability of 72.8%. A draw had a probability of 17.7% and a win for Tondela had a probability of 9.54%.

The most likely scoreline for a Sporting Lisbon win was 2-0 with a probability of 14.1%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (12.92%) and 3-0 (10.26%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (8.32%), while for a Tondela win it was 0-1 (3.81%). The actual scoreline of 2-0 was predicted with a 14.1% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted a 2-0 win for Sporting Lisbon in this match and our team at Sports Mole correctly predicted the win for Sporting Lisbon.

Result
Sporting LisbonDrawTondela
72.8%17.66%9.54%
Both teams to score 42.13%
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
53.7%46.3%
Over 3.5Under 3.5
31.41%68.59%
Sporting Lisbon Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
88.74%11.27%
Over 1.5Under 1.5
64.13%35.87%
Tondela Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
47.47%52.53%
Over 1.5Under 1.5
13.65%86.35%
Score Analysis
    Sporting Lisbon 72.79%
    Tondela 9.54%
    Draw 17.66%
Sporting LisbonDrawTondela
2-0 @ 14.1%
1-0 @ 12.92%
3-0 @ 10.26%
2-1 @ 9.08%
3-1 @ 6.61%
4-0 @ 5.6%
4-1 @ 3.61%
5-0 @ 2.45%
3-2 @ 2.13%
5-1 @ 1.58%
4-2 @ 1.16%
Other @ 3.29%
Total : 72.79%
1-1 @ 8.32%
0-0 @ 5.92%
2-2 @ 2.92%
Other @ 0.5%
Total : 17.66%
0-1 @ 3.81%
1-2 @ 2.68%
0-2 @ 1.23%
Other @ 1.82%
Total : 9.54%

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Premier League Table
TeamPWDLFAGDPTS
1Sporting Lisbon16131237172040
2Benfica16123131102139
3Porto16112323121135
4Braga16103340231733
5Vitoria de GuimaraesGuimaraes169342618830
6MoreirenseMoreirense167542117426
7SC FarenseFarense166372322121
8Casa Pia165471821-319
9FamalicaoFamalicao164751520-519
10Estoril PraiaEstoril165293029117
11Estrela Amadora164571723-617
12BoavistaBoavista164572230-817
13AroucaArouca164482223-116
14Gil Vicente164392630-415
15Rio AveRio Ave163671824-615
16PortimonensePortimonense164391736-1915
17Vizela162771523-813
18ChavesChaves1632111841-2311
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