Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Porto win with a probability of 42.59%. A win for Sporting Lisbon had a probability of 28.75% and a draw had a probability of 28.7%.
The most likely scoreline for a Porto win was 0-1 with a probability of 13.6%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-2 (8.47%) and 1-2 (8.21%). The likeliest Sporting Lisbon win was 1-0 (10.58%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (13.18%). The actual scoreline of 1-1 was predicted with a 13.2% likelihood.
