Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Rio Ave win with a probability of 36.43%. A win for Santa Clara had a probability of 35.18% and a draw had a probability of 28.4%.
The most likely scoreline for a Rio Ave win was 1-0 with a probability of 11.67%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (7.7%) and 2-0 (6.78%). The likeliest Santa Clara win was 0-1 (11.42%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (13.26%). The actual scoreline of 1-2 was predicted with a 7.5% likelihood.
