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Primeira Liga | Gameweek 19
Jan 23, 2022 at 8.30pm UK
Estádio do Dragão
FL
Porto
3 - 1
Famalicao
Otavio (25'), Diaz (37'), Taremi (78' pen.)
Uribe (85')
FT(HT: 2-0)
Riccieli (90+1')
Riccieli (38'), Pepe (68'), De La Fuente (80'), Amarildo (90+6')

We said: Porto 3-0 Famalicao

Porto appear simply unstoppable at the moment, claiming eight consecutive wins across all competitions and stamping their name as genuine title contenders. We are tipping them to maintain this fine run and extend their dominance in this fixture by claiming all three points. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Porto win with a probability of 68.82%. A draw had a probability of 17.8% and a win for Famalicao had a probability of 13.37%.

The most likely scoreline for a Porto win was 2-0 with a probability of 10.36%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.68%) and 1-0 (8.84%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (8.26%), while for a Famalicao win it was 1-2 (3.86%). The actual scoreline of 3-1 was predicted with a 7.6% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Porto would win this match.

Result
PortoDrawFamalicao
68.82%17.81%13.37%
Both teams to score 54.87%
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
63.61%36.4%
Over 3.5Under 3.5
41.47%58.54%
Porto Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
90.41%9.6%
Over 1.5Under 1.5
67.91%32.09%
Famalicao Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
60.7%39.31%
Over 1.5Under 1.5
23.99%76.01%
Score Analysis
    Porto 68.82%
    Famalicao 13.37%
    Draw 17.81%
PortoDrawFamalicao
2-0 @ 10.36%
2-1 @ 9.68%
1-0 @ 8.84%
3-0 @ 8.1%
3-1 @ 7.56%
4-0 @ 4.74%
4-1 @ 4.43%
3-2 @ 3.53%
5-0 @ 2.22%
5-1 @ 2.08%
4-2 @ 2.07%
5-2 @ 0.97%
Other @ 4.24%
Total : 68.82%
1-1 @ 8.26%
2-2 @ 4.52%
0-0 @ 3.77%
3-3 @ 1.1%
Other @ 0.16%
Total : 17.81%
1-2 @ 3.86%
0-1 @ 3.52%
0-2 @ 1.65%
2-3 @ 1.41%
1-3 @ 1.2%
Other @ 1.75%
Total : 13.37%

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Primeira Liga Table
TeamPWDLFAGDPTS
1Benfica32272377185983
2Porto32254366204679
3Braga33243672304275
4Sporting Lisbon32224667293870
5AroucaArouca33149103437-351
6Vitoria de GuimaraesGuimaraes32155123336-350
7ChavesChaves331210113436-246
8FamalicaoFamalicao32134153541-643
9BoavistaBoavista33118143953-1441
10Vizela33117153336-340
11Casa Pia32117142937-840
12Rio AveRio Ave32109133338-539
13PortimonensePortimonense33104192546-2134
14Gil Vicente3297163140-934
15Estoril PraiaEstoril3294192846-1831
16Maritimo3375213160-2926
17Santa ClaraSanta Clara3357212655-2922
18Pacos de FerreiraPacos de Ferreira3255222358-3520
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