Moreirense 2-1 Arouca - Primeira Liga - September 25, 2021 - Match Guide, Data Analysis, Standings - Football

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Arouca win with a probability of 39.83%. A win for Moreirense had a probability of 32.97% and a draw had a probability of 27.2%.

The most likely scoreline for an Arouca win was 0-1 with a probability of 11.13%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (8.38%) and 0-2 (7.24%). The likeliest Moreirense win was 1-0 (9.91%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.88%). The actual scoreline of 2-1 was predicted with a 7.5% likelihood.

Result
Moreirense	Draw	Arouca
32.97%	27.19%	39.83%

Both teams to score 49.88%

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

44.52%

55.48%

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

23.34%

76.66%

Moreirense Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

68.56%

31.44%

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

32.19%

67.81%

Arouca Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

72.75%

27.25%

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

37.32%

62.67%

Score Analysis

Moreirense 32.97%

Arouca 39.83%

Draw 27.19%

Moreirense	Draw	Arouca
1-0 @ 9.91% 2-1 @ 7.46% 2-0 @ 5.74% 3-1 @ 2.88% 3-0 @ 2.21% 3-2 @ 1.87% Other @ 2.91% Total : 32.97%	1-1 @ 12.88% 0-0 @ 8.57% 2-2 @ 4.85% Other @ 0.89% Total : 27.19%	0-1 @ 11.13% 1-2 @ 8.38% 0-2 @ 7.24% 1-3 @ 3.63% 0-3 @ 3.14% 2-3 @ 2.1% 1-4 @ 1.18% 0-4 @ 1.02% Other @ 2.01% Total : 39.83%