Maritimo have endured a horrid start to the season and will need to turn around their fortunes sooner rather than later to avoid dropping into the second tier. Pacos de Ferreira have also struggled to get going and head into this game in similar form. With that said, we anticipate both sides will take a cautious approach to the game and settle for a share of the spoils.
Read more.
Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Pacos de Ferreira win with a probability of 36.82%. A win for Maritimo had a probability of 34.36% and a draw had a probability of 28.8%.
The most likely scoreline for a Pacos de Ferreira win was 0-1 with a probability of 12.19%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (7.64%) and 0-2 (6.98%). The likeliest Maritimo win was 1-0 (11.67%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (13.35%). The actual scoreline of 2-0 was predicted with a 6.4% likelihood.
