With the sides separated by just three points at the bottom of the table, we expect them to take the game to each other in search of a morale boosting win. While Famalicao are on a fine run of results against Belenenses, they head into the game in similar form and we anticipate a share of the spoils with both sides settling for a point apiece.
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Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Famalicao win with a probability of 48.33%. A draw had a probability of 27.4% and a win for Belenenses had a probability of 24.3%.
The most likely scoreline for a Famalicao win was 1-0 with a probability of 14.09%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (9.79%) and 2-1 (8.8%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (12.67%), while for a Belenenses win it was 0-1 (9.12%). The actual scoreline of 1-0 was predicted with a 14.1% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted a 1-0 win for Famalicao in this match.
