Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Boavista win with a probability of 44.22%. A draw had a probability of 30.6% and a win for Belenenses had a probability of 25.16%.
The most likely scoreline for a Boavista win was 1-0 with a probability of 16.46%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (9.51%) and 2-1 (7.54%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 0-0 (14.25%), while for a Belenenses win it was 0-1 (11.3%). The actual scoreline of 0-0 was predicted with a 14.3% likelihood.
