We said: Arouca 1-2 Gil Vicente
While Arouca will look to get their domestic assignment up and running, they face a spirited Gil Vicente side who have hit the ground running this season. We are backing the Gilistas to build on their Europa Conference League result and end their winless run against the Arouquenses.
Read more.Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Arouca win with a probability of 39.22%. A win for Gil Vicente had a probability of 32.03% and a draw had a probability of 28.7%.
The most likely scoreline for an Arouca win was 1-0 with a probability of 12.71%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (7.92%) and 2-0 (7.57%). The likeliest Gil Vicente win was 0-1 (11.17%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (13.3%). The actual scoreline of 1-0 was predicted with a 12.7% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted a 1-0 win for Arouca in this match.
| Result |
| Arouca | Draw | Gil Vicente |
39.22% ( 0.01) | 28.75% ( -0) | 32.03% ( -0) |
| Both teams to score 45.14% ( 0.01) |
| 38.71% ( 0.01) | 61.29% ( -0.01) |
| 18.79% ( 0.01) | 81.21% ( -0.01) |
| 69.59% ( 0.01) | 30.41% ( -0.01) |
