Despite the difference in league positions, everything points to this being a close game. Southampton will fancy their chances of causing West Ham problems in the final third, but we are backing the Hammers to battle their way to a hard-fought win.
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Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a West Ham United win with a probability of 46.95%. A win for Southampton had a probability of 28.66% and a draw had a probability of 24.4%.
The most likely scoreline for a West Ham United win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.38%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (9.36%) and 2-0 (7.65%). The likeliest Southampton win was 1-2 (7.03%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.46%). The actual scoreline of 2-3 was predicted with a 2.3% likelihood.
