Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Tottenham Hotspur win with a probability of 54.55%. A draw had a probability of 24.8% and a win for Aston Villa had a probability of 20.64%.
The most likely scoreline for a Tottenham Hotspur win was 1-0 with a probability of 13.15%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (10.65%) and 2-1 (9.49%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (11.71%), while for an Aston Villa win it was 0-1 (7.23%). The actual scoreline of 2-1 was predicted with a 9.5% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Tottenham Hotspur would win this match.
