MX23RW : Saturday, October 8 12:08:01
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Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Manchester City win with a probability of 64.58%. A draw had a probability of 19.4% and a win for Southampton had a probability of 16.02%.

The most likely scoreline for a Manchester City win was 0-2 with a probability of 9.89%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (9.87%) and 0-1 (9.01%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (8.99%), while for a Southampton win it was 2-1 (4.49%). The actual scoreline of 0-1 was predicted with a 9% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Manchester City would win this match.

Result
SouthamptonDrawManchester City
16.02%19.4%64.58%
Both teams to score 56.09%
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
61.85%38.14%
Over 3.5Under 3.5
39.58%60.41%
Southampton Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
63.12%36.87%
Over 1.5Under 1.5
26.33%73.66%
Manchester City Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
88.86%11.13%
Over 1.5Under 1.5
64.42%35.57%
Score Analysis
    Southampton 16.02%
    Manchester City 64.58%
    Draw 19.4%
SouthamptonDrawManchester City
2-1 @ 4.49%
1-0 @ 4.1%
2-0 @ 2.04%
3-2 @ 1.64%
3-1 @ 1.49%
Other @ 2.27%
Total : 16.02%
1-1 @ 8.99%
2-2 @ 4.92%
0-0 @ 4.11%
3-3 @ 1.2%
Other @ 0.18%
Total : 19.4%
0-2 @ 9.89%
1-2 @ 9.87%
0-1 @ 9.01%
0-3 @ 7.24%
1-3 @ 7.22%
0-4 @ 3.97%
1-4 @ 3.96%
2-3 @ 3.6%
2-4 @ 1.98%
0-5 @ 1.75%
1-5 @ 1.74%
Other @ 4.34%
Total : 64.58%

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Premier League Table
TeamPWDLFAGDPTS
1Arsenal87012081221
2Manchester CityMan City86202992020
3Tottenham HotspurSpurs85211910917
4Brighton & Hove AlbionBrighton7421148614
5Chelsea74121010013
6Manchester UnitedMan Utd74031114-312
7Newcastle UnitedNewcastle8251128411
8Fulham83231315-211
9Liverpool7241189910
10Brentford82421512310
11Everton824277010
12Leeds UnitedLeeds7232101009
13Bournemouth8233619-139
14Aston Villa8224610-48
15West Ham UnitedWest Ham821559-47
16Southampton8215813-57
17Crystal Palace7133811-36
18Wolverhampton WanderersWolves813439-66
19Leicester CityLeicester81161422-84
20Nottingham ForestNott'm Forest8116621-154
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Bundesliga Table
TeamPWDLFAGDPTS
1Union BerlinUnion Berlin8521156917
2Freiburg8521126617
3Bayern MunichBayern84312361715
4Werder Bremen94322014615
5Borussia DortmundDortmund85031110115
6Hoffenheim94231410414
7Eintracht FrankfurtFrankfurt84221613314
8FC Koln83411410413
9Borussia MonchengladbachBorussia M'bach83321110112
10Augsburg8404812-412
11RB Leipzig83231312111
12Mainz 058323812-411
13Wolfsburg8224814-68
14Hertha Berlin8143810-27
15Schalke 04Schalke81341017-76
16Stuttgart8053913-45
17Bayer LeverkusenB. Leverkusen8125916-75
18VfL BochumVfL Bochum8017523-181
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