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Premier League | Gameweek 14
Dec 1, 2021 at 7.30pm UK
St Mary's Stadium
LL
Southampton
2 - 2
Leicester
Bednarek (3'), Adams (34')
Romeu (48')
FT(HT: 2-1)
Evans (22'), Maddison (49')
Lookman (55'), Ndidi (82'), Dewsbury-Hall (90+3')

We said: Southampton 1-1 Leicester City

Going down 4-0 to Liverpool should not be a trigger for Southampton to press the panic button, especially given how defensively sound they have been on home soil so far this term. It is difficult to know what to expect from this inconsistent Leicester side - except for goals at both ends in away fixtures - and we can see a refreshed Southampton XI coming away with a respectable point. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Leicester City win with a probability of 40%. A win for Southampton had a probability of 32.51% and a draw had a probability of 27.5%.

The most likely scoreline for a Leicester City win was 0-1 with a probability of 11.51%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (8.33%) and 0-2 (7.39%). The likeliest Southampton win was 1-0 (10.12%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.98%). The actual scoreline of 2-2 was predicted with a 4.7% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole correctly predicted a draw in this match.

Result
SouthamptonDrawLeicester City
32.51%27.48%40%
Both teams to score 48.88%
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
43.31%56.68%
Over 3.5Under 3.5
22.35%77.64%
Southampton Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
67.63%32.37%
Over 1.5Under 1.5
31.12%68.88%
Leicester City Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
72.28%27.72%
Over 1.5Under 1.5
36.71%63.29%
Score Analysis
    Southampton 32.51%
    Leicester City 40%
    Draw 27.48%
SouthamptonDrawLeicester City
1-0 @ 10.12%
2-1 @ 7.32%
2-0 @ 5.71%
3-1 @ 2.75%
3-0 @ 2.15%
3-2 @ 1.77%
Other @ 2.69%
Total : 32.51%
1-1 @ 12.98%
0-0 @ 8.97%
2-2 @ 4.7%
Other @ 0.83%
Total : 27.48%
0-1 @ 11.51%
1-2 @ 8.33%
0-2 @ 7.39%
1-3 @ 3.56%
0-3 @ 3.16%
2-3 @ 2.01%
1-4 @ 1.14%
0-4 @ 1.01%
Other @ 1.89%
Total : 40%

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Premier League Table
TeamPWDLFAGDPTS
1Manchester CityMan City4400112912
2Tottenham HotspurSpurs4310114710
3Liverpool431093610
4West Ham UnitedWest Ham431094510
5Arsenal431084410
6Brighton & Hove AlbionBrighton430112669
7Crystal Palace42115417
8Brentford41308536
9Nottingham ForestNott'm Forest42026606
10Aston Villa420289-16
11Manchester UnitedMan Utd420257-26
12Chelsea41125504
13Fulham4112410-64
14Newcastle UnitedNewcastle41037703
15Wolverhampton WanderersWolves410348-43
16Bournemouth402248-42
17Sheffield UnitedSheff Utd401347-31
18Everton401328-61
19Luton TownLuton300329-70
20Burnley3003311-80
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