Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Norwich City win with a probability of 36.43%. A win for Aston Villa has a probability of 36.3% and a draw has a probability of 27.3%.
The most likely scoreline was Norwich City 1-1 Aston Villa with a probability of 12.92%. The next most likely scorelines were 1-0 (10.52%), 0-1 (10.49%), 0-0 (8.54%). The actual score line of 0-2 was predicted with a 6.4%.