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Premier League | Gameweek 15
Dec 4, 2021 at 3pm UK
St James' Park
BL
Newcastle
1 - 0
Burnley
Wilson (40')
Manquillo (87')
FT(HT: 1-0)

Collins (75')

We said: Newcastle United 2-1 Burnley

Finding the back of the net has never been a problem for this Newcastle side, and failure to beat Burnley on their own patch would certainly spell danger for the rest of the season. The Clarets have developed a resilient streak of old in recent weeks, but we are backing Newcastle's talented attack to finally fire them to a first win of the 2021-22 campaign here. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Newcastle United win with a probability of 37%. A win for Burnley had a probability of 33.32% and a draw had a probability of 29.7%.

The most likely scoreline for a Newcastle United win was 1-0 with a probability of 13.08%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (7.41%) and 2-0 (7.2%). The likeliest Burnley win was 0-1 (12.22%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (13.46%). The actual scoreline of 1-0 was predicted with a 13.1% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted a 1-0 win for Newcastle United in this match and our team at Sports Mole correctly predicted the win for Newcastle United.

Result
Newcastle UnitedDrawBurnley
37%29.68%33.32%
Both teams to score 42.89%
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
35.85%64.15%
Over 3.5Under 3.5
16.71%83.29%
Newcastle United Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
66.75%33.25%
Over 1.5Under 1.5
30.14%69.86%
Burnley Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
64.26%35.74%
Over 1.5Under 1.5
27.49%72.51%
Score Analysis
    Newcastle United 37%
    Burnley 33.32%
    Draw 29.67%
Newcastle UnitedDrawBurnley
1-0 @ 13.08%
2-1 @ 7.41%
2-0 @ 7.2%
3-1 @ 2.72%
3-0 @ 2.64%
3-2 @ 1.4%
Other @ 2.54%
Total : 37%
1-1 @ 13.46%
0-0 @ 11.88%
2-2 @ 3.81%
Other @ 0.52%
Total : 29.67%
0-1 @ 12.22%
1-2 @ 6.93%
0-2 @ 6.29%
1-3 @ 2.38%
0-3 @ 2.16%
2-3 @ 1.31%
Other @ 2.04%
Total : 33.32%

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Premier League Table
TeamPWDLFAGDPTS
1Manchester CityMan City66001631318
2Liverpool65101551016
3Brighton & Hove AlbionBrighton65011881015
4Tottenham HotspurSpurs6420157814
5Arsenal6420116514
6Aston Villa64021210212
7West Ham UnitedWest Ham63121110110
8Newcastle UnitedNewcastle630316799
9Manchester UnitedMan Utd6303710-39
10Crystal Palace622267-18
11Fulham6222510-58
12Nottingham ForestNott'm Forest621379-27
13Brentford61329906
14Chelsea612356-15
15Everton6114510-54
16Wolverhampton WanderersWolves6114612-64
17Bournemouth6033511-63
18Luton TownLuton5014311-81
19Burnley5014413-91
20Sheffield UnitedSheff Utd6015517-121
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