Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Manchester United win with a probability of 69.88%. A draw had a probability of 18.5% and a win for Newcastle United had a probability of 11.64%.
The most likely scoreline for a Manchester United win was 2-0 with a probability of 12.63%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (11.64%) and 2-1 (9.54%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (8.79%), while for a Newcastle United win it was 0-1 (4.05%). The actual scoreline of 4-1 was predicted with a 3.7% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Manchester United would win this match.
