Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Manchester United win with a probability of 56.13%. A draw had a probability of 22.8% and a win for Aston Villa had a probability of 21.03%.

The most likely scoreline for a Manchester United win was 1-0 with a probability of 10.53%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.88%) and 2-0 (9.62%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (10.8%), while for an Aston Villa win it was 0-1 (5.92%). The actual scoreline of 0-1 was predicted with a 5.9% likelihood.