MX23RW : Wednesday, January 11 21:22:41
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Wednesday, January 11

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Manchester City win with a probability of 73.67%. A draw had a probability of 15.5% and a win for Southampton had a probability of 10.79%.

The most likely scoreline for a Manchester City win was 2-0 with a probability of 10.21%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.21%) and 3-0 (8.83%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (7.1%), while for a Southampton win it was 1-2 (3.2%). The actual scoreline of 5-2 was predicted with a 1.2% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Manchester City would win this match.

Result
Manchester CityDrawSouthampton
73.67%15.54%10.79%
Both teams to score 54.95%
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
67.79%32.22%
Over 3.5Under 3.5
46.18%53.82%
Manchester City Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
92.51%7.49%
Over 1.5Under 1.5
73.11%26.9%
Southampton Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
59.39%40.61%
Over 1.5Under 1.5
22.8%77.21%
Score Analysis
    Manchester City 73.67%
    Southampton 10.79%
    Draw 15.54%
Manchester CityDrawSouthampton
2-0 @ 10.21%
2-1 @ 9.21%
3-0 @ 8.83%
3-1 @ 7.96%
1-0 @ 7.88%
4-0 @ 5.72%
4-1 @ 5.16%
3-2 @ 3.59%
5-0 @ 2.97%
5-1 @ 2.67%
4-2 @ 2.32%
6-0 @ 1.28%
5-2 @ 1.21%
6-1 @ 1.16%
Other @ 3.52%
Total : 73.67%
1-1 @ 7.1%
2-2 @ 4.15%
0-0 @ 3.04%
3-3 @ 1.08%
Other @ 0.17%
Total : 15.54%
1-2 @ 3.2%
0-1 @ 2.74%
2-3 @ 1.25%
0-2 @ 1.24%
1-3 @ 0.96%
Other @ 1.41%
Total : 10.79%

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Premier League Table
TeamPWDLFAGDPTS
1Arsenal17142140142644
2Manchester CityMan City17123245162939
3Newcastle UnitedNewcastle1898132112135
4Manchester UnitedMan Utd1711242720735
5Tottenham HotspurSpurs18103537251233
6Liverpool1784534221228
7Fulham188463027328
8Brighton & Hove AlbionBrighton178363225727
9Brentford186843028226
10Chelsea177462019125
11Aston Villa186482026-622
12Crystal Palace176471725-822
13Leicester CityLeicester1852112631-517
14Leeds UnitedLeeds174582531-617
15Nottingham ForestNott'm Forest184591334-2117
16Bournemouth1844101839-2116
17West Ham UnitedWest Ham1843111524-915
18Everton183691424-1015
19Wolverhampton WanderersWolves1835101127-1614
20Southampton1833121533-1812
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