Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Manchester City win with a probability of 84.04%. A draw had a probability of 10.8% and a win for Crystal Palace had a probability of 5.16%.
The most likely scoreline for a Manchester City win was 2-0 with a probability of 11.9%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 3-0 (11.82%) and 4-0 (8.82%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (5.11%), while for a Crystal Palace win it was 0-1 (1.71%). The actual scoreline of 0-2 was predicted with a 0.5% likelihood.
