Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Liverpool win with a probability of 83.96%. A draw had a probability of 11.2% and a win for Watford had a probability of 4.83%.
The most likely scoreline for a Liverpool win was 2-0 with a probability of 13.55%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 3-0 (12.79%) and 1-0 (9.57%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (5.33%), while for a Watford win it was 0-1 (1.88%). The actual scoreline of 2-0 was predicted with a 13.6% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted a 2-0 win for Liverpool in this match and our team at Sports Mole correctly predicted the win for Liverpool.