Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Liverpool win with a probability of 69.01%. A draw has a probability of 17.7% and a win for Southampton has a probability of 13.32%.
The most likely scoreline was Liverpool 2-0 Southampton with a probability of 10.26%. The next most likely scorelines were 2-1 (9.65%), 1-0 (8.69%), 1-1 (8.17%). The actual score line of 4-0 was predicted with a 4.8%.