SM
| Current League Standings | P | GD | PTS | |
| 7 | West Ham United | 38 | 9 | 56 |
| 8 | Leicester City | 38 | 3 | 52 |
| 9 | Brighton & Hove Albion | 38 | -2 | 51 |
| Current League Standings | P | GD | PTS | |
| 14 | Aston Villa | 38 | -2 | 45 |
| 15 | Southampton | 38 | -24 | 40 |
| 16 | Everton | 38 | -23 | 39 |
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Leicester City win with a probability of 57.29%. A draw had a probability of 21.5% and a win for Southampton had a probability of 21.22%.
The most likely scoreline for a Leicester City win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.87%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (8.7%) and 2-0 (8.68%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (9.89%), while for a Southampton win it was 1-2 (5.62%). The actual scoreline of 4-1 was predicted with a 3.3% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Leicester City would win this match.
| Result | ||
| Leicester City | Draw | Southampton |
57.29% ( 0.24) | 21.49% ( -0.16) | 21.22% ( -0.09) |
| Both teams to score 58.7% ( 0.42) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 60.61% ( 0.62) | 39.38% ( -0.62) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 38.27% ( 0.65) | 61.72% ( -0.65) |
| Leicester City Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 86.42% ( 0.28) | 13.57% ( -0.28) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
| 59.32% ( 0.56) | 40.68% ( -0.56) |
| Southampton Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 67.92% ( 0.27) | 32.08% ( -0.27) |
