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Premier League | Gameweek 16
Dec 12, 2021 at 2pm UK
King Power Stadium
NL
Leicester
4 - 0
Newcastle
Tielemans (38' pen., 81'), Daka (57'), Maddison (85')
Castagne (11'), Soyuncu (64')
FT(HT: 1-0)

Lewis (24'), Manquillo (70'), Saint-Maximin (90')

We said: Leicester City 3-2 Newcastle United

Both teams are far stronger in attack than they are defence, and that should only lead to an entertaining fixture at the King Power Stadium. While we expect the Magpies to lead at some stage, the Foxes have the firepower to edge this contest in the closing stages. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Leicester City win with a probability of 62.3%. A draw had a probability of 21.8% and a win for Newcastle United had a probability of 15.9%.

The most likely scoreline for a Leicester City win was 1-0 with a probability of 12.48%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (11.77%) and 2-1 (9.76%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (10.35%), while for a Newcastle United win it was 0-1 (5.49%). The actual scoreline of 4-0 was predicted with a 3.5% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Leicester City would win this match.

Result
Leicester CityDrawNewcastle United
62.3%21.79%15.9%
Both teams to score 47.81%
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
51.01%48.99%
Over 3.5Under 3.5
28.93%71.07%
Leicester City Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
84.83%15.17%
Over 1.5Under 1.5
56.23%43.77%
Newcastle United Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
56.36%43.64%
Over 1.5Under 1.5
20.17%79.82%
Score Analysis
    Leicester City 62.3%
    Newcastle United 15.9%
    Draw 21.79%
Leicester CityDrawNewcastle United
1-0 @ 12.48%
2-0 @ 11.77%
2-1 @ 9.76%
3-0 @ 7.4%
3-1 @ 6.14%
4-0 @ 3.49%
4-1 @ 2.89%
3-2 @ 2.55%
5-0 @ 1.32%
4-2 @ 1.2%
5-1 @ 1.09%
Other @ 2.21%
Total : 62.3%
1-1 @ 10.35%
0-0 @ 6.62%
2-2 @ 4.05%
Other @ 0.78%
Total : 21.79%
0-1 @ 5.49%
1-2 @ 4.29%
0-2 @ 2.28%
1-3 @ 1.19%
2-3 @ 1.12%
Other @ 1.54%
Total : 15.9%

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Premier League Table
TeamPWDLFAGDPTS
CManchester CityMan City36284493316288
2Arsenal37256683434081
3Newcastle UnitedNewcastle361912567323569
4Manchester UnitedMan Utd36216952411169
5Liverpool37199971432866
6Brighton & Hove AlbionBrighton361871170502061
7Aston Villa37177134945458
8Tottenham HotspurSpurs37176146662457
9Brentford371414957461156
10Fulham37157155451352
11Crystal Palace371111153948-944
12Chelsea361110153642-643
13Wolverhampton WanderersWolves37118183153-2241
14West Ham UnitedWest Ham37117194153-1240
15Bournemouth37116203770-3339
16Nottingham ForestNott'm Forest37910183767-3037
17Everton37712183357-2433
18Leeds UnitedLeeds37710204774-2731
19Leicester CityLeicester3686224967-1830
RSouthampton3766253269-3724
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