Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Manchester City win with a probability of 41.14%. A win for Chelsea had a probability of 31.29% and a draw had a probability of 27.6%.
The most likely scoreline for a Manchester City win was 0-1 with a probability of 11.89%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (8.42%) and 0-2 (7.71%). The likeliest Chelsea win was 1-0 (10.03%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.99%). The actual scoreline of 0-1 was predicted with an 11.9% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted a 0-1 win for Manchester City in this match.
