Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Arsenal win with a probability of 48.72%. A draw had a probability of 27% and a win for Burnley had a probability of 24.28%.
The most likely scoreline for an Arsenal win was 0-1 with a probability of 13.75%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-2 (9.76%) and 1-2 (8.93%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (12.58%), while for a Burnley win it was 1-0 (8.87%). The actual scoreline of 0-1 was predicted with a 13.8% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted a 0-1 win for Arsenal in this match.
