MX23RW : Saturday, March 11 19:44:24
SM
Fulham vs. Arsenal: 18 hrs 15 mins

We said: Brighton & Hove Albion 2-2 Leeds United

This has all of the makings of a very open and entertaining game of football, and we are predicting goals on Saturday afternoon. Both sides will believe that they can hurt the other in the forward areas, but we are struggling to separate them and have had to settle on an entertaining score draw. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Brighton & Hove Albion win with a probability of 39.41%. A win for Leeds United had a probability of 33.38% and a draw had a probability of 27.2%.

The most likely scoreline for a Brighton & Hove Albion win was 1-0 with a probability of 11.06%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.33%) and 2-0 (7.14%). The likeliest Leeds United win was 0-1 (9.99%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.89%). The actual scoreline of 0-0 was predicted with an 8.6% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole correctly predicted a draw in this match.

Result
Brighton & Hove AlbionDrawLeeds United
39.41%27.21%33.38%
Both teams to score 49.92%
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
44.53%55.47%
Over 3.5Under 3.5
23.34%76.66%
Brighton & Hove Albion Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
72.51%27.49%
Over 1.5Under 1.5
37.02%62.98%
Leeds United Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
68.84%31.16%
Over 1.5Under 1.5
32.51%67.49%
Score Analysis
    Brighton & Hove Albion 39.41%
    Leeds United 33.38%
    Draw 27.2%
Brighton & Hove AlbionDrawLeeds United
1-0 @ 11.06%
2-1 @ 8.33%
2-0 @ 7.14%
3-1 @ 3.59%
3-0 @ 3.08%
3-2 @ 2.09%
4-1 @ 1.16%
4-0 @ 0.99%
Other @ 1.97%
Total : 39.41%
1-1 @ 12.89%
0-0 @ 8.56%
2-2 @ 4.86%
Other @ 0.89%
Total : 27.2%
0-1 @ 9.99%
1-2 @ 7.52%
0-2 @ 5.82%
1-3 @ 2.92%
0-3 @ 2.26%
2-3 @ 1.89%
Other @ 2.98%
Total : 33.38%

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Premier League Table
TeamPWDLFAGDPTS
1Arsenal26203359253463
2Manchester CityMan City27194467254261
3Manchester UnitedMan Utd2515464135649
4Tottenham HotspurSpurs27153949371248
5Liverpool26126847291842
6Newcastle UnitedNewcastle241011335171841
7Brighton & Hove AlbionBrighton24116745311439
8Fulham2611693834439
9Brentford2591154033738
10Chelsea2610792726137
11Aston Villa25104113138-734
12Crystal Palace2669112133-1227
13Wolverhampton WanderersWolves2676131935-1627
14Nottingham ForestNott'm Forest2668122147-2626
15Everton2767142038-1825
16Leicester CityLeicester2673163746-924
17Bournemouth2666142551-2624
18West Ham UnitedWest Ham2565142333-1023
19Leeds UnitedLeeds2658133142-1123
20Southampton2563162041-2121
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