Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Aston Villa win with a probability of 39.56%. A win for Everton had a probability of 31.89% and a draw had a probability of 28.6%.
The most likely scoreline for an Aston Villa win was 1-0 with a probability of 12.59%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.01%) and 2-0 (7.6%). The likeliest Everton win was 0-1 (10.98%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (13.26%). The actual scoreline of 3-0 was predicted with a 3.1% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Aston Villa would win this match.
