MX23RW : Sunday, December 11 18:59:10
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Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Chelsea win with a probability of 55.72%. A win for Aston Villa had a probability of 22.5% and a draw had a probability of 21.8%.

The most likely scoreline for a Chelsea win was 1-2 with a probability of 9.82%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-1 (8.48%) and 0-2 (8.34%). The likeliest Aston Villa win was 2-1 (5.88%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (9.98%). The actual scoreline of 2-1 was predicted with a 5.9% likelihood.

Result
Aston VillaDrawChelsea
22.5%21.79%55.72%
Both teams to score 59.52%
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
60.84%39.16%
Over 3.5Under 3.5
38.52%61.49%
Aston Villa Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
69.2%30.81%
Over 1.5Under 1.5
32.92%67.08%
Chelsea Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
86.02%13.98%
Over 1.5Under 1.5
58.51%41.49%
Score Analysis
    Aston Villa 22.5%
    Chelsea 55.72%
    Draw 21.79%
Aston VillaDrawChelsea
2-1 @ 5.88%
1-0 @ 5.07%
2-0 @ 2.99%
3-1 @ 2.31%
3-2 @ 2.27%
3-0 @ 1.17%
Other @ 2.82%
Total : 22.5%
1-1 @ 9.98%
2-2 @ 5.78%
0-0 @ 4.31%
3-3 @ 1.49%
Other @ 0.24%
Total : 21.79%
1-2 @ 9.82%
0-1 @ 8.48%
0-2 @ 8.34%
1-3 @ 6.44%
0-3 @ 5.47%
2-3 @ 3.79%
1-4 @ 3.17%
0-4 @ 2.69%
2-4 @ 1.86%
1-5 @ 1.25%
0-5 @ 1.06%
Other @ 3.37%
Total : 55.72%

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Premier League Table
TeamPWDLFAGDPTS
1Arsenal14121133112237
2Manchester CityMan City14102240142632
3Newcastle UnitedNewcastle1586129111830
4Tottenham HotspurSpurs1592431211029
5Manchester UnitedMan Utd148242020026
6Liverpool1464428171122
7Brighton & Hove AlbionBrighton146352319421
8Chelsea146351717021
9Fulham155462426-219
10Brentford154742325-219
11Crystal Palace145451518-319
12Aston Villa155371622-618
13Leicester CityLeicester155282525017
14Bournemouth154471832-1416
15Leeds UnitedLeeds144372226-415
16West Ham UnitedWest Ham154291217-514
17Everton153571117-614
18Nottingham ForestNott'm Forest153481130-1913
19Southampton153391327-1412
20Wolverhampton WanderersWolves15249824-1610
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