Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Brentford win with a probability of 40.59%. A win for Aston Villa had a probability of 31.63% and a draw had a probability of 27.8%.
The most likely scoreline for a Brentford win was 0-1 with a probability of 12%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (8.31%) and 0-2 (7.64%). The likeliest Aston Villa win was 1-0 (10.27%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (13.06%). The actual scoreline of 1-1 was predicted with a 13.1% likelihood.
