MX23RW : Saturday, February 25 21:52:51
SM
EFL Cup final: 18 hrs 37 mins

We said: Arsenal 3-1 Leicester City

Leicester could very well have conceded at least one or two to Leeds on another day, and a fatigued Foxes without Vardy facing his favourite opponent cannot expect much at the fortress that is the Emirates. Smith Rowe's expected return will only add to Arsenal's cutting edge - not that they needed it against Watford - and Arteta's in-form crop should prevail with minimal difficulty. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Arsenal win with a probability of 64.37%. A draw had a probability of 19.8% and a win for Leicester City had a probability of 15.86%.

The most likely scoreline for an Arsenal win was 2-0 with a probability of 10.34%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.91%) and 1-0 (9.68%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (9.27%), while for a Leicester City win it was 1-2 (4.44%). The actual scoreline of 2-0 was predicted with a 10.3% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted a 2-0 win for Arsenal in this match and our team at Sports Mole correctly predicted the win for Arsenal.

Result
ArsenalDrawLeicester City
64.37%19.77%15.86%
Both teams to score 54.35%
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
59.76%40.24%
Over 3.5Under 3.5
37.39%62.61%
Arsenal Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
88.2%11.81%
Over 1.5Under 1.5
62.97%37.03%
Leicester City Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
61.63%38.37%
Over 1.5Under 1.5
24.87%75.13%
Score Analysis
    Arsenal 64.37%
    Leicester City 15.86%
    Draw 19.77%
ArsenalDrawLeicester City
2-0 @ 10.34%
2-1 @ 9.91%
1-0 @ 9.68%
3-0 @ 7.37%
3-1 @ 7.06%
4-0 @ 3.93%
4-1 @ 3.77%
3-2 @ 3.38%
4-2 @ 1.81%
5-0 @ 1.68%
5-1 @ 1.61%
Other @ 3.85%
Total : 64.37%
1-1 @ 9.27%
2-2 @ 4.74%
0-0 @ 4.53%
3-3 @ 1.08%
Other @ 0.15%
Total : 19.77%
1-2 @ 4.44%
0-1 @ 4.34%
0-2 @ 2.08%
2-3 @ 1.52%
1-3 @ 1.42%
Other @ 2.07%
Total : 15.86%

Read more!
Read more!
Form Guide
Last Game: Watford 2-3 Arsenal
Sunday, March 6 at 2pm in Premier League
Last Game: Arsenal 2-1 Wolves
Thursday, February 24 at 7.45pm in Premier League
Last Game: Arsenal 2-1 Brentford
Saturday, February 19 at 3pm in Premier League
Last Game: Wolves 0-1 Arsenal
Thursday, February 10 at 7.45pm in Premier League
Last Game: Arsenal 0-0 Burnley
Sunday, January 23 at 2pm in Premier League
Last Game: Arsenal 0-2 Liverpool
Thursday, January 20 at 7.45pm in EFL Cup
Last Game: Leicester 2-0 Rennes
Thursday, March 10 at 8pm in Europa Conference League
Last Game: Leicester 1-0 Leeds
Saturday, March 5 at 12.30pm in Premier League
Last Game: Burnley 0-2 Leicester
Tuesday, March 1 at 7.45pm in Premier League
Last Game: Randers 1-3 Leicester
Thursday, February 24 at 5.45pm in Europa Conference League
Last Game: Wolves 2-1 Leicester
Sunday, February 20 at 4.30pm in Premier League
Last Game: Leicester 4-1 Randers
Thursday, February 17 at 8pm in Europa Conference League
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Premier League Table
TeamPWDLFAGDPTS
1Arsenal24183352232957
2Manchester CityMan City25174464253955
3Manchester UnitedMan Utd24154541281349
4Tottenham HotspurSpurs2413384435942
5Newcastle UnitedNewcastle231011235152041
6Fulham2511683631539
7Liverpool23106738281036
8Brighton & Hove AlbionBrighton22105739291035
9Brentford2381143730735
10Chelsea238782323031
11Aston Villa2494113038-831
12Crystal Palace246992131-1027
13Nottingham ForestNott'm Forest2467111842-2425
14Leicester CityLeicester2473143642-624
15Wolverhampton WanderersWolves2466121833-1524
16West Ham UnitedWest Ham2465132329-623
17Leeds UnitedLeeds2457122939-1022
18Everton2456131732-1521
19Bournemouth2456132248-2621
20Southampton2453161941-2218
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