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Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Chelsea win with a probability of 48.76%. A win for Arsenal had a probability of 27.51% and a draw had a probability of 23.7%.

The most likely scoreline for a Chelsea win was 1-2 with a probability of 9.51%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-1 (8.95%) and 0-2 (7.7%). The likeliest Arsenal win was 2-1 (6.83%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.05%). The actual scoreline of 3-1 was predicted with a 2.8% likelihood.

Result
ArsenalDrawChelsea
27.51%23.73%48.76%
Both teams to score 58.25%
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
56.7%43.3%
Over 3.5Under 3.5
34.31%65.69%
Arsenal Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
70.95%29.05%
Over 1.5Under 1.5
35.04%64.96%
Chelsea Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
82.1%17.9%
Over 1.5Under 1.5
51.31%48.69%
Score Analysis
    Arsenal 27.51%
    Chelsea 48.76%
    Draw 23.72%
ArsenalDrawChelsea
2-1 @ 6.83%
1-0 @ 6.43%
2-0 @ 3.97%
3-1 @ 2.82%
3-2 @ 2.42%
3-0 @ 1.64%
Other @ 3.4%
Total : 27.51%
1-1 @ 11.05%
2-2 @ 5.88%
0-0 @ 5.2%
3-3 @ 1.39%
Other @ 0.2%
Total : 23.72%
1-2 @ 9.51%
0-1 @ 8.95%
0-2 @ 7.7%
1-3 @ 5.46%
0-3 @ 4.41%
2-3 @ 3.37%
1-4 @ 2.35%
0-4 @ 1.9%
2-4 @ 1.45%
Other @ 3.67%
Total : 48.76%

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