Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Linfield win with a probability of 43.86%. A win for Glenavon had a probability of 31.72% and a draw had a probability of 24.4%.
The most likely scoreline for a Linfield win was 1-2 with a probability of 9.1%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-1 (8.61%) and 0-2 (6.87%). The likeliest Glenavon win was 2-1 (7.54%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.39%). The actual scoreline of 0-0 was predicted with a 5.4% likelihood.
