Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Glentoran win with a probability of 55.94%. A draw had a probability of 22.5% and a win for Glenavon had a probability of 21.57%.
The most likely scoreline for a Glentoran win was 1-2 with a probability of 9.89%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-1 (9.81%) and 0-2 (9.18%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (10.56%), while for a Glenavon win it was 2-1 (5.69%). The actual scoreline of 1-2 was predicted with a 9.9% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted a 1-2 win for Glentoran in this match.
