Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Crusaders win with a probability of 49.28%. A win for Glenavon had a probability of 26.92% and a draw had a probability of 23.8%.
The most likely scoreline for a Crusaders win was 1-2 with a probability of 9.55%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-1 (9.23%) and 0-2 (7.91%). The likeliest Glenavon win was 2-1 (6.73%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.13%). The actual scoreline of 1-0 was predicted with a 6.5% likelihood.
