Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Carrick Rangers win with a probability of 46.66%. A win for Dungannon Swifts had a probability of 28.77% and a draw had a probability of 24.6%.
The most likely scoreline for a Carrick Rangers win was 1-0 with a probability of 9.52%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.35%) and 2-0 (7.69%). The likeliest Dungannon Swifts win was 0-1 (7.17%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.57%). The actual scoreline of 1-0 was predicted with a 9.5% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted a 1-0 win for Carrick Rangers in this match.
