Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Carrick Rangers win with a probability of 51.02%. A win for Dungannon Swifts had a probability of 25.25% and a draw had a probability of 23.7%.
The most likely scoreline for a Carrick Rangers win was 1-0 with a probability of 9.73%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.67%) and 2-0 (8.42%). The likeliest Dungannon Swifts win was 0-1 (6.45%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.16%). The actual scoreline of 1-2 was predicted with a 6.4% likelihood.
