MX23RW : Friday, March 17 12:21:54
SM
Forest vs. Newcastle: 7 hrs 38 mins
Oct 30, 2021 at 3pm UK at Ballymena Showgrounds
Ballymena
0 - 3
Larne

Loughran (30'), Winchester (38'), Keeley (53')
FT(HT: 0-2)
Randall (2', 36'), Nasseri (64')
Herron (39'), Balmer (42')
Coverage of the NIFL Premiership clash between Ballymena United and Larne.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Larne win with a probability of 45.7%. A win for Ballymena United had a probability of 29.76% and a draw had a probability of 24.5%.

The most likely scoreline for a Larne win was 1-2 with a probability of 9.27%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-1 (9.22%) and 0-2 (7.41%). The likeliest Ballymena United win was 2-1 (7.22%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.53%). The actual scoreline of 0-3 was predicted with a 4% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Larne would win this match.

Result
Ballymena UnitedDrawLarne
29.76%24.54%45.7%
Both teams to score 57.08%
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
54.45%45.55%
Over 3.5Under 3.5
32.12%67.88%
Ballymena United Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
71.38%28.62%
Over 1.5Under 1.5
35.58%64.42%
Larne Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
79.97%20.04%
Over 1.5Under 1.5
47.76%52.24%
Score Analysis
    Ballymena United 29.76%
    Larne 45.7%
    Draw 24.54%
Ballymena UnitedDrawLarne
2-1 @ 7.22%
1-0 @ 7.17%
2-0 @ 4.49%
3-1 @ 3.01%
3-2 @ 2.42%
3-0 @ 1.87%
4-1 @ 0.94%
Other @ 2.64%
Total : 29.76%
1-1 @ 11.53%
2-2 @ 5.8%
0-0 @ 5.73%
3-3 @ 1.3%
Other @ 0.18%
Total : 24.54%
1-2 @ 9.27%
0-1 @ 9.22%
0-2 @ 7.41%
1-3 @ 4.97%
0-3 @ 3.97%
2-3 @ 3.11%
1-4 @ 2%
0-4 @ 1.6%
2-4 @ 1.25%
Other @ 2.91%
Total : 45.7%

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NIFL Premiership Table
TeamPWDLFAGDPTS
1LarneLarne31216456183869
2CliftonvilleCliftonville31196658382063
3LinfieldLinfield31195758253362
4GlentoranGlentoran31184959233658
5CrusadersCrusaders31177760352558
6ColeraineColeraine31176852282457
7Carrick RangersCarrick31114164158-1737
8GlenavonGlenavon3198144756-935
9Ballymena UnitedBallymena3195173047-1732
10Newry City AFC3172223057-2723
11Dungannon SwiftsDungannon3162232070-5020
12PortadownPortadown3143242076-5615
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