Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Crusaders win with a probability of 51.07%. A win for Ballymena United had a probability of 24.83% and a draw had a probability of 24.1%.
The most likely scoreline for a Crusaders win was 0-1 with a probability of 10.33%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (9.65%) and 0-2 (8.74%). The likeliest Ballymena United win was 1-0 (6.75%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.41%). The actual scoreline of 2-0 was predicted with a 3.7% likelihood.
