MX23RW : Tuesday, March 28 19:11:01
SM
Arsenal W vs. Bayern W: 23 hrs 48 mins
Jun 14, 2022 at 7.45pm UK
Turkey
2 - 0
Lithuania
Ayhan (37'), Calhanoglu (54' pen.)
FT(HT: 1-0)

Baravykas (31'), Cernych (49'), Armanavicius (53'), Milasius (80')

Form, Standings, Stats

Last Six:
Last Game: Luxembourg 0-2 Turkey
Saturday, June 11 at 7.45pm in Nations League
:no data 356|l|156:DIVision:.!d!.:Sport:1:
Last Game: Faroe Islands 2-1 Lithuania
Saturday, June 11 at 5pm in Nations League
:no data 356|l|156:DIVision:.!d!.:Sport:1:

We said: Turkey 3-0 Lithuania

While Lithuania will be looking to arrest their slump, next up is the stern test of taking on a rampant Turkey side who have hit their stride at the tournament. Looking at the gulf in quality and experience between the sides, and their contrasting form, we are backing the hosts to come away with all three points unscathed. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Turkey win with a probability of 57.74%. A draw had a probability of 23.6% and a win for Lithuania had a probability of 18.62%.

The most likely scoreline for a Turkey win was 1-0 with a probability of 12.95%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (11.17%) and 2-1 (9.65%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (11.19%), while for a Lithuania win it was 0-1 (6.5%). The actual scoreline of 2-0 was predicted with an 11.2% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Turkey would win this match.

Result
TurkeyDrawLithuania
57.74% (0.0080000000000027 0.01) 23.64% (0.012999999999998 0.01) 18.62% (-0.024999999999999 -0.02)
Both teams to score 47.53% (-0.081000000000003 -0.08)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
47.85% (-0.087000000000003 -0.09)52.14% (0.080999999999996 0.08)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
26.13% (-0.076000000000001 -0.08)73.86% (0.070999999999998 0.07)
Turkey Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
82.16% (-0.030999999999992 -0.03)17.84% (0.026 0.03)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
51.41% (-0.049000000000007 -0.05)48.58% (0.044000000000004 0.04)
Lithuania Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
57.85% (-0.078000000000003 -0.08)42.14% (0.074000000000005 0.07)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
21.44% (-0.067 -0.07)78.56% (0.061999999999998 0.06)
Score Analysis
    Turkey 57.73%
    Lithuania 18.62%
    Draw 23.63%
TurkeyDrawLithuania
1-0 @ 12.95% (0.029999999999999 0.03)
2-0 @ 11.17% (0.02 0.02)
2-1 @ 9.65% (-0.0050000000000008 -0.01)
3-0 @ 6.42% (0.0049999999999999 0)
3-1 @ 5.55% (-0.008 -0.01)
4-0 @ 2.77% (-0.00099999999999989 -0)
3-2 @ 2.4% (-0.0089999999999999 -0.01)
4-1 @ 2.39% (-0.0059999999999998 -0.01)
4-2 @ 1.03% (-0.004 -0)
5-0 @ 0.95% (-0.001 -0)
Other @ 2.45%
Total : 57.73%
1-1 @ 11.19%
0-0 @ 7.52% (0.024 0.02)
2-2 @ 4.17% (-0.011 -0.01)
Other @ 0.76%
Total : 23.63%
0-1 @ 6.5% (0.008 0.01)
1-2 @ 4.84% (-0.008 -0.01)
0-2 @ 2.81% (-0.0030000000000001 -0)
1-3 @ 1.39% (-0.0050000000000001 -0.01)
2-3 @ 1.2% (-0.006 -0.01)
Other @ 1.88%
Total : 18.62%

Read more!
Read more!
Form Guide
Last Game: Luxembourg 0-2 Turkey
Saturday, June 11 at 7.45pm in Nations League
Last Game: Lithuania 0-6 Turkey
Tuesday, June 7 at 7.45pm in Nations League
Last Game: Turkey 4-0 Faroe Islands
Saturday, June 4 at 7.45pm in Nations League
Last Game: Turkey 2-3 Italy
Tuesday, March 29 at 7.45pm in International Friendlies
Last Game: Portugal 3-1 Turkey
Thursday, March 24 at 7.45pm in World Cup Qualifying - Europe
Last Game: Montenegro 1-2 Turkey
Tuesday, November 16 at 7.45pm in World Cup Qualifying - Europe
Last Game: Faroe Islands 2-1 Lithuania
Saturday, June 11 at 5pm in Nations League
Last Game: Lithuania 0-6 Turkey
Tuesday, June 7 at 7.45pm in Nations League
Last Game: Lithuania 0-2 Luxembourg
Saturday, June 4 at 5pm in Nations League
Last Game: Rep. Ireland 1-0 Lithuania
Tuesday, March 29 at 7.45pm in International Friendlies
Last Game: San Marino 1-2 Lithuania
Friday, March 25 at 7.45pm in International Friendlies
Last Game: Lithuania 1-1 Kuwait
Monday, November 15 at 5pm in International Friendlies
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