Current League C1 Standings | P | GD | PTS | |
1 | Turkey | 0 | 0 | 0 |
2 | Faroe Islands | 0 | 0 | 0 |
3 | Luxembourg | 0 | 0 | 0 |
4 | Lithuania | 0 | 0 | 0 |
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Turkey win with a probability of 57.74%. A draw had a probability of 23.6% and a win for Lithuania had a probability of 18.62%.
The most likely scoreline for a Turkey win was 1-0 with a probability of 12.95%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (11.17%) and 2-1 (9.65%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (11.19%), while for a Lithuania win it was 0-1 (6.5%). The actual scoreline of 2-0 was predicted with an 11.2% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Turkey would win this match.
Result | ||
Turkey | Draw | Lithuania |
57.74% ( 0.01) | 23.64% ( 0.01) | 18.62% ( -0.02) |
Both teams to score 47.53% ( -0.08) |
Goals |
Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
47.85% ( -0.09) | 52.14% ( 0.08) |
Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
26.13% ( -0.08) | 73.86% ( 0.07) |
Turkey Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
82.16% ( -0.03) | 17.84% ( 0.03) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
51.41% ( -0.05) | 48.58% ( 0.04) |
Lithuania Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
57.85% ( -0.08) | 42.14% ( 0.07) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
21.44% ( -0.07) | 78.56% ( 0.06) |
Score Analysis |
Turkey | Draw | Lithuania |
1-0 @ 12.95% ( 0.03) 2-0 @ 11.17% ( 0.02) 2-1 @ 9.65% ( -0.01) 3-0 @ 6.42% ( 0) 3-1 @ 5.55% ( -0.01) 4-0 @ 2.77% ( -0) 3-2 @ 2.4% ( -0.01) 4-1 @ 2.39% ( -0.01) 4-2 @ 1.03% ( -0) 5-0 @ 0.95% ( -0) Other @ 2.45% Total : 57.73% | 1-1 @ 11.19% 0-0 @ 7.52% ( 0.02) 2-2 @ 4.17% ( -0.01) Other @ 0.76% Total : 23.63% | 0-1 @ 6.5% ( 0.01) 1-2 @ 4.84% ( -0.01) 0-2 @ 2.81% ( -0) 1-3 @ 1.39% ( -0.01) 2-3 @ 1.2% ( -0.01) Other @ 1.88% Total : 18.62% |
Team | P | W | D | L | F | A | GD | PTS | |
1 | Arsenal | 28 | 22 | 3 | 3 | 66 | 26 | 40 | 69 |
2 | Manchester CityMan City | 27 | 19 | 4 | 4 | 67 | 25 | 42 | 61 |
3 | Manchester UnitedMan Utd | 26 | 15 | 5 | 6 | 41 | 35 | 6 | 50 |
4 | Tottenham HotspurSpurs | 28 | 15 | 4 | 9 | 52 | 40 | 12 | 49 |
5 | Newcastle UnitedNewcastle | 26 | 12 | 11 | 3 | 39 | 19 | 20 | 47 |
6 | Liverpool | 26 | 12 | 6 | 8 | 47 | 29 | 18 | 42 |
7 | Brighton & Hove AlbionBrighton | 25 | 12 | 6 | 7 | 46 | 31 | 15 | 42 |
8 | Brentford | 27 | 10 | 12 | 5 | 43 | 34 | 9 | 42 |
9 | Fulham | 27 | 11 | 6 | 10 | 38 | 37 | 1 | 39 |
10 | Chelsea | 27 | 10 | 8 | 9 | 29 | 28 | 1 | 38 |
11 | Aston Villa | 27 | 11 | 5 | 11 | 35 | 39 | -4 | 38 |
12 | Crystal Palace | 28 | 6 | 9 | 13 | 22 | 38 | -16 | 27 |
13 | Wolverhampton WanderersWolves | 28 | 7 | 6 | 15 | 22 | 41 | -19 | 27 |
14 | Leeds UnitedLeeds | 27 | 6 | 8 | 13 | 35 | 44 | -9 | 26 |
15 | Everton | 28 | 6 | 8 | 14 | 22 | 40 | -18 | 26 |
16 | Nottingham ForestNott'm Forest | 27 | 6 | 8 | 13 | 22 | 49 | -27 | 26 |
17 | Leicester CityLeicester | 27 | 7 | 4 | 16 | 38 | 47 | -9 | 25 |
18 | West Ham UnitedWest Ham | 26 | 6 | 6 | 14 | 24 | 34 | -10 | 24 |
19 | Bournemouth | 27 | 6 | 6 | 15 | 25 | 54 | -29 | 24 |
20 | Southampton | 28 | 6 | 5 | 17 | 23 | 46 | -23 | 23 |
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