MX23RW : Sunday, November 20 19:25:20
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Sunday, November 20
Jun 5, 2022 at 7.45pm UK
Sweden
1 - 2
Norway
Elanga (90+2')
Krafth (18'), Isak (34'), Svanberg (45'), Kulusevski (90'), Olsen (90+1')
FT(HT: 0-1)
Braut Haaland (20' pen., 69')
Holmgren Pedersen (42')

Form, Standings, Stats

Last Six:
Last Game: Sweden 0-1 Serbia
Thursday, June 9 at 7.45pm in Nations League
Next Game: Norway vs. Sweden
Sunday, June 12 at 5pm in Nations League
Last Six:
Last Game: Norway 0-0 Slovenia
Thursday, June 9 at 7.45pm in Nations League
Next Game: Norway vs. Sweden
Sunday, June 12 at 5pm in Nations League

We said: Sweden 1-1 Norway

As neither side tends to concede too many goals, and this contest comes early in the Nations League process, there is every chance a low-scoring draw will be the result on Sunday. Both teams are well versed at holding more technically-gifted nations at bay, so taking the initiative does not always come easily - though Norway's new generation can be impressively fearless on their day. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Sweden win with a probability of 48.86%. A draw had a probability of 25.7% and a win for Norway had a probability of 25.39%.

The most likely scoreline for a Sweden win was 1-0 with a probability of 11.97%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.3%) and 2-0 (9.11%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (12.22%), while for a Norway win it was 0-1 (8.03%). The actual scoreline of 1-2 was predicted with a 6.2% likelihood.

Result
SwedenDrawNorway
48.86% (-0.13200000000001 -0.13) 25.74% (0.033999999999999 0.03) 25.39% (0.094999999999999 0.09)
Both teams to score 49.98% (-0.015999999999998 -0.02)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
46.68% (-0.066000000000003 -0.07)53.31% (0.061 0.06)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
25.14% (-0.056999999999999 -0.06)74.86% (0.051999999999992 0.05)
Sweden Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
78.16% (-0.087000000000003 -0.09)21.84% (0.082000000000001 0.08)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
44.94% (-0.13 -0.13)55.06% (0.125 0.13)
Norway Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
63.94% (0.045999999999999 0.05)36.05% (-0.050999999999995 -0.05)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
27.16% (0.047000000000001 0.05)72.83% (-0.052000000000007 -0.05)
Score Analysis
    Sweden 48.86%
    Norway 25.39%
    Draw 25.74%
SwedenDrawNorway
1-0 @ 11.97%
2-1 @ 9.3% (-0.010999999999999 -0.01)
2-0 @ 9.11% (-0.024000000000001 -0.02)
3-1 @ 4.72% (-0.016999999999999 -0.02)
3-0 @ 4.62% (-0.024 -0.02)
3-2 @ 2.41% (-0.0049999999999999 -0)
4-1 @ 1.79% (-0.011 -0.01)
4-0 @ 1.76% (-0.014 -0.01)
4-2 @ 0.92% (-0.005 -0.01)
Other @ 2.26%
Total : 48.86%
1-1 @ 12.22% (0.020000000000001 0.02)
0-0 @ 7.87% (0.019 0.02)
2-2 @ 4.74% (0.0010000000000003 0)
Other @ 0.9%
Total : 25.74%
0-1 @ 8.03% (0.030000000000001 0.03)
1-2 @ 6.23% (0.017 0.02)
0-2 @ 4.1% (0.021000000000001 0.02)
1-3 @ 2.12% (0.008 0.01)
2-3 @ 1.61% (0.002 0)
0-3 @ 1.39% (0.0090000000000001 0.01)
Other @ 1.91%
Total : 25.39%

Read more!
Read more!
Form Guide
Last Game: Slovenia 0-2 Sweden
Thursday, June 2 at 7.45pm in Nations League
Last Game: Poland 2-0 Sweden
Tuesday, March 29 at 7.45pm in World Cup Qualifying - Europe
Last Game: Sweden 1-0 Czech Republic
Thursday, March 24 at 7.45pm in World Cup Qualifying - Europe
Last Game: Spain 1-0 Sweden
Sunday, November 14 at 7.45pm in World Cup Qualifying - Europe
Last Game: Georgia 2-0 Sweden
Thursday, November 11 at 5pm in World Cup Qualifying - Europe
Last Game: Sweden 2-0 Greece
Tuesday, October 12 at 7.45pm in World Cup Qualifying - Europe
Last Game: Serbia 0-1 Norway
Thursday, June 2 at 7.45pm in Nations League
Last Game: Norway 9-0 Armenia
Tuesday, March 29 at 6pm in International Friendlies
Last Game: Norway 2-0 Slovakia
Friday, March 25 at 5pm in International Friendlies
Last Game: Netherlands 2-0 Norway
Tuesday, November 16 at 7.45pm in World Cup Qualifying - Europe
Last Game: Norway 0-0 Latvia
Saturday, November 13 at 5pm in World Cup Qualifying - Europe
Last Game: Norway 2-0 Montenegro
Monday, October 11 at 7.45pm in World Cup Qualifying - Europe
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