We said: Northern Ireland 1-0 Cyprus
All things considered, this game is unlikely to feature many goals, both managers being fearful of what defeat could mean. Nevertheless, home advantage may prove key for Northern Ireland, and a solitary goal may be enough to buy Baraclough some time in the dugout.
Read more.Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Northern Ireland win with a probability of 49.07%. A draw had a probability of 27.3% and a win for Cyprus had a probability of 23.66%.
The most likely scoreline for a Northern Ireland win was 1-0 with a probability of 14.29%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (10.01%) and 2-1 (8.83%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (12.6%), while for a Cyprus win it was 0-1 (9%). The actual scoreline of 2-2 was predicted with a 3.9% likelihood.
| Result |
| Northern Ireland | Draw | Cyprus |
49.07% ( -0.03) | 27.27% ( -0) | 23.66% ( 0.03) |
| Both teams to score 44.15% ( 0.03) |
| 39.93% ( 0.03) | 60.07% ( -0.03) |
| 19.71% ( 0.02) | 80.29% ( -0.02) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
| 40.84% | 59.16% ( 0) |
| 58.59% ( 0.04) | 41.41% ( -0.04) |
