SM
| Current League D2 Standings | P | GD | PTS | |
| 1 | Estonia | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| 2 | Malta | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| 3 | San Marino | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| Current League D2 Standings | P | GD | PTS | |
| 1 | Estonia | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| 2 | Malta | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| 3 | San Marino | 0 | 0 | 0 |
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Malta win with a probability of 50.8%. A win for San Marino had a probability of 27.1% and a draw had a probability of 22.1%.
The most likely scoreline for a Malta win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.42%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (7.13%) and 2-0 (6.9%). The likeliest San Marino win was 1-2 (6.65%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (9.74%). The actual scoreline of 1-0 was predicted with a 7.1% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Malta would win this match.
| Result | ||
| Malta | Draw | San Marino |
50.8% ( -0.01) | 22.09% ( -0) | 27.1% ( 0.01) |
| Both teams to score 63.74% ( 0.02) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 64.1% ( 0.03) | 35.9% ( -0.03) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 42.01% ( 0.03) | 57.99% ( -0.04) |
| Malta Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 85.57% ( 0) | 14.43% ( -0.01) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | ||||||||
| 57.63% ( 0.01) | 42.37% ( -0.02) |
| San Marino Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 74.5% ( 0.02) | 25.5% ( -0.02) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | ||||||||
| 39.65% ( 0.03) | 60.35% ( -0.03) |
| Score Analysis |
| Malta | Draw | San Marino |
| 2-1 @ 9.42% ( -0) 1-0 @ 7.13% ( -0.01)2-0 @ 6.9% ( -0.01)3-1 @ 6.08% 3-0 @ 4.45% ( -0)3-2 @ 4.15% ( 0)4-1 @ 2.94% ( 0)4-0 @ 2.15% ( -0)4-2 @ 2.01% ( 0)5-1 @ 1.14% ( 0)4-3 @ 0.92% ( 0)Other @ 3.52% Total : 50.8% | 1-1 @ 9.74% ( -0.01) 2-2 @ 6.44% ( 0)0-0 @ 3.68% ( -0.01)3-3 @ 1.89% ( 0)Other @ 0.35% Total : 22.09% | 1-2 @ 6.65% ( 0) 0-1 @ 5.03% ( -0)0-2 @ 3.44% ( -0)1-3 @ 3.03% ( 0)2-3 @ 2.93% ( 0)0-3 @ 1.57% ( 0)1-4 @ 1.04% ( 0)2-4 @ 1% ( 0)Other @ 2.42% Total : 27.1% |
| Team | P | W | D | L | F | A | GD | PTS | |
| 1 | Arsenal | 28 | 22 | 3 | 3 | 66 | 26 | 40 | 69 |
| 2 | Manchester CityMan City | 27 | 19 | 4 | 4 | 67 | 25 | 42 | 61 |
| 3 | Manchester UnitedMan Utd | 26 | 15 | 5 | 6 | 41 | 35 | 6 | 50 |
| 4 | Tottenham HotspurSpurs | 28 | 15 | 4 | 9 | 52 | 40 | 12 | 49 |
| 5 | Newcastle UnitedNewcastle | 26 | 12 | 11 | 3 | 39 | 19 | 20 | 47 |
| 6 | Liverpool | 26 | 12 | 6 | 8 | 47 | 29 | 18 | 42 |
| 7 | Brighton & Hove AlbionBrighton | 25 | 12 | 6 | 7 | 46 | 31 | 15 | 42 |
| 8 | Brentford | 27 | 10 | 12 | 5 | 43 | 34 | 9 | 42 |
| 9 | Fulham | 27 | 11 | 6 | 10 | 38 | 37 | 1 | 39 |
| 10 | Chelsea | 27 | 10 | 8 | 9 | 29 | 28 | 1 | 38 |
| 11 | Aston Villa | 27 | 11 | 5 | 11 | 35 | 39 | -4 | 38 |
| 12 | Crystal Palace | 28 | 6 | 9 | 13 | 22 | 38 | -16 | 27 |
| 13 | Wolverhampton WanderersWolves | 28 | 7 | 6 | 15 | 22 | 41 | -19 | 27 |
| 14 | Leeds UnitedLeeds | 27 | 6 | 8 | 13 | 35 | 44 | -9 | 26 |
| 15 | Everton | 28 | 6 | 8 | 14 | 22 | 40 | -18 | 26 |
| 16 | Nottingham ForestNott'm Forest | 27 | 6 | 8 | 13 | 22 | 49 | -27 | 26 |
| 17 | Leicester CityLeicester | 27 | 7 | 4 | 16 | 38 | 47 | -9 | 25 |
| 18 | West Ham UnitedWest Ham | 26 | 6 | 6 | 14 | 24 | 34 | -10 | 24 |
| 19 | Bournemouth | 27 | 6 | 6 | 15 | 25 | 54 | -29 | 24 |
| 20 | Southampton | 28 | 6 | 5 | 17 | 23 | 46 | -23 | 23 |
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